Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.019409 0.022588 0.026095 0.030249 0.035031 0.040360 0.046745
2025-11-30 0.015114 0.019348 0.024453 0.031044 0.039315 0.049334 0.062375
2025-12-07 0.011799 0.016412 0.022415 0.030766 0.042046 0.056711 0.077181
2025-12-14 0.009187 0.013762 0.020134 0.029602 0.043244 0.062109 0.090085
2025-12-21 0.007513 0.012026 0.018705 0.029224 0.045270 0.068693 0.105314
2025-12-28 0.006699 0.011374 0.018674 0.030779 0.050189 0.079893 0.128515
2026-01-04 0.005898 0.010576 0.018254 0.031601 0.054006 0.089805 0.150900
2026-01-11 0.004946 0.009346 0.016919 0.030691 0.054837 0.095019 0.166343
2026-01-18 0.004270 0.008473 0.016034 0.030372 0.056538 0.101741 0.184923
2026-01-25 0.003643 0.007577 0.014960 0.029532 0.057158 0.106609 0.200762
2026-02-01 0.003154 0.006861 0.014101 0.028942 0.058109 0.112085 0.218186
2026-02-08 0.002785 0.006321 0.013496 0.028735 0.059716 0.118866 0.238659
2026-02-15 0.002402 0.005694 0.012639 0.027936 0.060124 0.123558 0.255967
2026-02-22 0.002252 0.005553 0.012768 0.029191 0.064834 0.137102 0.292081
2026-03-01 0.002017 0.005178 0.012339 0.029189 0.066921 0.145644 0.319109
2026-03-08 0.001744 0.004664 0.011522 0.028209 0.066767 0.149553 0.336987
2026-03-15 0.001553 0.004318 0.011036 0.027911 0.068071 0.156651 0.362366
2026-03-22 0.001491 0.004292 0.011308 0.029432 0.073709 0.173717 0.411230
2026-03-29 0.001394 0.004155 0.011287 0.030236 0.077761 0.187682 0.454637
2026-04-05 0.001226 0.003791 0.010635 0.029373 0.077683 0.192250 0.477098
2026-04-12 0.001103 0.003534 0.010225 0.029071 0.078948 0.200059 0.507915
2026-04-19 0.000974 0.003236 0.009657 0.028267 0.078833 0.204554 0.531283
2026-04-26 0.000870 0.002992 0.009202 0.027702 0.079263 0.210409 0.558561